Casertana 1-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.05/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.14
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
09.05.2015 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-0
AWAY Salernitana
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana squeezed past Salernitana 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Casertana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Casertana had 46% of the ball to Salernitana's 54%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Salernitana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 1.50 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Salernitana?

Casertana 1-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Casertana 33%, draw 28%, Salernitana 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5
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