Audace Cerignola 4-2 Trapani 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.78/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.17
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Trapani 1905
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 2-1 HT 2-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
02.03.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 1-0 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 İTC
20.10.2024 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 5-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
4-2
AWAY Trapani 1905
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Trapani 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola saw off Trapani 1905 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 60% of the ball to Trapani 1905's 40%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trapani 1905 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Audace Cerignola and 2.33 for Trapani 1905.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Trapani 1905?

Audace Cerignola 4-2 Trapani 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Trapani 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 59%, draw 21%, Trapani 1905 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Over 2.5
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