Trapani 1905 5-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 30%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.28
-100% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
190 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
5-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 swept aside Audace Cerignola 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Trapani 1905 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 41% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 59%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola?

Trapani 1905 5-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 39%, draw 30%, Audace Cerignola 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trapani 1905) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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