Milan II 1-3 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
1-3
AWAY Legnago Salus
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus beat Milan II 3-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Milan II carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan II had 50% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Legnago Salus?

Milan II 1-3 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Milan II 57%, draw 22%, Legnago Salus 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Lecco vs Pergolettese Analysis →
00:00 Trento AC vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
00:00 Sassari Torres vs Ternana Analysis →
00:00 Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →
00:00 Padova Calcio vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →
00:00 Athletic Carpi vs Lucchese Analysis →