Lecco 1-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.70/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
+19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pergolettese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 4-2 HT 0-2 Lecco Lecco İTC
10.09.2022 Lecco Lecco 2-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
06.03.2022 Lecco Lecco 3-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
24.10.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
31.03.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-2 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
22.11.2020 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-0
AWAY Pergolettese
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco edged past Pergolettese 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lecco had 54% of the ball to Pergolettese's 46%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lecco and 1.50 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Pergolettese?

Lecco 1-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lecco 50%, draw 23%, Pergolettese 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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