Picerno 1-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.22/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.98
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Atalanta II Atalanta II 6-2 HT 2-2 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-1
AWAY Atalanta II
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno and Atalanta II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Picerno had 47% of the ball to Atalanta II's 53%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Atalanta II?

Picerno 1-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Picerno 34%, draw 24%, Atalanta II 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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