US Latina 2-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.13
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
0.77/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.76
-42% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-2 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
22.03.2025 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
09.11.2024 US Latina US Latina 2-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
06.04.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 3-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.12.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
2-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina beat Sorrento Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had US Latina as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, US Latina had 47% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 53%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for US Latina and 1.60 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Sorrento Calcio?

US Latina 2-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split US Latina 43%, draw 28%, Sorrento Calcio 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Latina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (US Latina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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