US Latina 2-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.47
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.95/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.93
-22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 3-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.12.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
2-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina got the better of Sorrento Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; US Latina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, US Latina had 45% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 55%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for US Latina and 2.50 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Sorrento Calcio?

US Latina 2-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split US Latina 36%, draw 28%, Sorrento Calcio 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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