Atalanta II 2-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.10
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 4-1 HT 3-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
02.12.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
2-1
AWAY Pro Patria
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II nicked a narrow win over Pro Patria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 65% of the ball to Pro Patria's 35%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atalanta II and 1.00 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Pro Patria?

Atalanta II 2-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 50%, draw 24%, Pro Patria 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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