Atalanta II 4-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.74
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 35% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
0.83/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.06
-43% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
4-1
AWAY Pro Patria
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II cruised past Pro Patria 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 27% — and on the day Atalanta II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 56% of the ball to Pro Patria's 44%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Pro Patria?

Atalanta II 4-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 40%, draw 32%, Pro Patria 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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