ACR Messina 2-1 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.07/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.22
-27% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 0-2 HT 0-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.03.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 1-1 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
06.11.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 3-2 HT 3-2 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
15.02.2022 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 3-1 HT 2-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
09.10.2021 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-3 HT 1-1 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
2-1
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina squeezed past Nuova Monterosi 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ACR Messina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 51% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 49%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for ACR Messina and 1.80 for Nuova Monterosi.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Nuova Monterosi?

ACR Messina 2-1 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 44%, draw 28%, Nuova Monterosi 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACR Messina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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