Pergolettese 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.69
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.76
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.01.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
24.09.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-1
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese and Arzignano Valchiampo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Pergolettese had 56% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 44%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pergolettese and 1.00 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Pergolettese 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 31%, draw 32%, Arzignano Valchiampo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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