Sassari Torres 1-2 Fermana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fermana EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.64
-2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Fermana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 5
03.12.2023 Fermana Fermana 1-1 HT 1-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
23.04.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-0 Fermana Fermana İTC
17.12.2022 Fermana Fermana 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
1-2
AWAY Fermana
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Fermana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fermana edged past Sassari Torres 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sassari Torres at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 58% of the ball to Fermana's 42%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fermana led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sassari Torres and 1.00 for Fermana.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Fermana?

Sassari Torres 1-2 Fermana in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Fermana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 50%, draw 25%, Fermana 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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