Pontedera 2-0 Ancona 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.68
2-3 Goals
49%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.47/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.45
+21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ancona 1905
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
09.01.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 3-0 HT 3-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
11.09.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 2-2 HT 0-2 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
22.01.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 0-5 HT 0-2 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
19.09.2021 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
2-0
AWAY Ancona 1905
63% Ball Possession 37%
3 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Ancona 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera saw off Ancona 1905 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontedera as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontedera had 63% of the ball to Ancona 1905's 37%, shots finished 3-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ancona 1905 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pontedera and 2.40 for Ancona 1905.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Ancona 1905?

Pontedera 2-0 Ancona 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Ancona 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 43%, draw 26%, Ancona 1905 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ BTTS Yes
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