Perugia 3-0 Olbia 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.59/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.88
-9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Olbia 1905
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.12.2023 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
3-0
AWAY Olbia 1905
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Olbia 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia swept aside Olbia 1905 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Perugia had 51% of the ball to Olbia 1905's 49%, shots finished 21-15.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Olbia 1905?

Perugia 3-0 Olbia 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Olbia 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Perugia 47%, draw 27%, Olbia 1905 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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