Recanatese vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Recanatese v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Recanatese vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Recanatese
İTC
4-2
HT 1-0
Carrarese
İTC
3-1
HT 3-1
Recanatese
İTC
Recanatese 4-1 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Recanatese ran out comfortable winners over Carrarese 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Recanatese had 41% of the ball to Carrarese's 59%, shots finished 8-17.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Recanatese and 2.00 for Carrarese.
What was the final score of Recanatese vs Carrarese?
Recanatese 4-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Recanatese vs Carrarese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Recanatese 26%, draw 25%, Carrarese 49%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.