Recanatese vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Recanatese v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Recanatese vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Recanatese 4-1 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Recanatese dismantled Carrarese 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Carrarese at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Recanatese had 41% of the ball to Carrarese's 59%, shots finished 8-17.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Recanatese and 2.00 for Carrarese.
Recanatese vs Carrarese Result & Final Score
Recanatese 4 - 1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Recanatese vs Carrarese Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Recanatese 17%, draw 23%, Carrarese 60%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.