Vicenza 2-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.78
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.77/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.96
+11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Novara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Novara Novara 2-2 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
01.02.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
02.10.2022 Novara Novara 3-0 HT 2-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
24.04.2017 Vicenza Vicenza 3-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTB
03.12.2016 Novara Novara 2-1 HT 1-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
05.03.2016 Novara Novara 4-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
2-1
AWAY Novara
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza squeezed past Novara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vicenza had 53% of the ball to Novara's 47%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novara led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vicenza and 2.33 for Novara.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Novara?

Vicenza 2-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 43%, draw 28%, Novara 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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