Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.01/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.41
-29% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
03.12.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.01.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
24.09.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-1
AWAY Pergolettese
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo and Pergolettese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 39% of the ball to Pergolettese's 61%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.50 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 47%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
9 Nov 2024
17:00 Caldiero Terme vs Vicenza Analysis →
17:00 Atalanta II vs Pro Patria Analysis →
17:00 Lucchese vs Legnago Salus Analysis →
17:00 Casertana vs SS Monopoli Analysis →
17:00 Trapani 1905 vs Cavese Analysis →
19:30 Lecco vs Virtus Verona Analysis →