Lecco 1-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.60/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.96
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2022 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
03.09.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-2 HT 1-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
12.03.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
31.10.2021 Lecco Lecco 2-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco and Virtus Verona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lecco at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lecco had 57% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lecco and 1.25 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Virtus Verona?

Lecco 1-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lecco 45%, draw 26%, Virtus Verona 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lecco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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