Sorrento Calcio 1-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.35/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.45
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
2W-0D-1L
AWAY US Latina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 US Latina US Latina 2-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
06.04.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 3-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.12.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-1
AWAY US Latina
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and US Latina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sorrento Calcio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 51% of the ball to US Latina's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina?

Sorrento Calcio 1-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 44%, draw 26%, US Latina 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sorrento Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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