GIANA Erminio 3-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.11/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.99
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Triestina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.05.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
14.04.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
09.12.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.04.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
12.12.2021 Triestina Triestina 2-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
3-0
AWAY Triestina
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio cruised past Triestina 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; GIANA Erminio found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 42% of the ball to Triestina's 58%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.17 for Triestina.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Triestina?

GIANA Erminio 3-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 39%, draw 27%, Triestina 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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