Campobasso 2-1 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 38% vs market 36.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.1pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 31%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.24/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.00
-4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Campobasso
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 0-0 HT 0-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
2-1
AWAY Athletic Carpi
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso nicked a narrow win over Athletic Carpi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Campobasso as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Campobasso had 50% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 50%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Athletic Carpi?

Campobasso 2-1 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 43%, draw 26%, Athletic Carpi 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campobasso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Campobasso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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