Vis Pesaro 2-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.64
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +92%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pianese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 Pianese Pianese 2-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
2-0
AWAY Pianese
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro got the better of Pianese 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vis Pesaro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 65% of the ball to Pianese's 35%, shots finished 20-4.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Pianese?

Vis Pesaro 2-0 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 43%, draw 28%, Pianese 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vis Pesaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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