Pianese 2-0 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
0.64/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.09
-47% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
2-0
AWAY Vis Pesaro
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese saw off Vis Pesaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Pianese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pianese had 51% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 49%, shots finished 22-20.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Vis Pesaro?

Pianese 2-0 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pianese 37%, draw 28%, Vis Pesaro 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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