Sorrento Calcio 2-2 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.47/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.25
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
2W-1D-1L
AWAY US Latina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
09.11.2024 US Latina US Latina 2-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
06.04.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 3-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
04.12.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
2-2
AWAY US Latina
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and US Latina couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sorrento Calcio at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 66% of the ball to US Latina's 34%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina?

Sorrento Calcio 2-2 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 43%, draw 27%, US Latina 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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