Trapani 1905 2-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.25
6+ Goals
7%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 36% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 34%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.94/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.23
-23% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trapani 1905
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 1-0 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 İTC
20.10.2024 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 5-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
2-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 edged past Audace Cerignola 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Trapani 1905 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 45% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 55%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Trapani 1905 and 1.00 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola?

Trapani 1905 2-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 40%, draw 25%, Audace Cerignola 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trapani 1905) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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