Catania 1-0 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.95/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.80
-23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Benevento
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Benevento Benevento 3-2 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
02.09.2024 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.12.2023 Benevento Benevento 0-4 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
05.12.2015 Catania Catania 1-3 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-0
AWAY Benevento
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catania vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania squeezed past Benevento 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Catania had 42% of the ball to Benevento's 58%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Catania and 1.50 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Catania vs Benevento?

Catania 1-0 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Catania 43%, draw 27%, Benevento 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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