Catania 1-0 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.59
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.00/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.68
-18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +71%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Benevento
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Benevento Benevento 0-4 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
05.12.2015 Catania Catania 1-3 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-0
AWAY Benevento
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catania vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania squeezed past Benevento 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Catania made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Catania had 43% of the ball to Benevento's 57%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Catania and 1.50 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Catania vs Benevento?

Catania 1-0 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Catania 40%, draw 28%, Benevento 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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