Ascoli 1-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Sep 2024

Ascoli
1-0 HT 1-0
Pianese
📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Ascoli vs Pianese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
14%
14.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ascoli v Pianese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.18/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.74
+26% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +104%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ascoli 1-0 Pianese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-0
AWAY Pianese
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli squeezed past Pianese 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ascoli had 52% of the ball to Pianese's 48%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Pianese?

Ascoli 1-0 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 49%, draw 26%, Pianese 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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