Vis Pesaro 3-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.93/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.42
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Arezzo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-3 HT 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTCK
10.03.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.11.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
11.04.2021 Arezzo Arezzo 4-2 HT 3-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
20.12.2020 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3-2 HT 1-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
3-0
AWAY Arezzo
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro ran out comfortable winners over Arezzo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 43% of the ball to Arezzo's 57%, shots finished 15-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Vis Pesaro and 2.40 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo?

Vis Pesaro 3-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 28%, draw 29%, Arezzo 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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