Vis Pesaro 1-3 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 45%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Arezzo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.11.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
11.04.2021 Arezzo Arezzo 4-2 HT 3-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
20.12.2020 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3-2 HT 1-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-3
AWAY Arezzo
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo beat Vis Pesaro 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Arezzo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 48% of the ball to Arezzo's 52%, shots finished 5-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Vis Pesaro and 2.25 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo?

Vis Pesaro 1-3 Arezzo in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 37%, draw 29%, Arezzo 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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