Arezzo 2-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.28/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.19
-12% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
11.04.2021 Arezzo Arezzo 4-2 HT 3-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
20.12.2020 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3-2 HT 1-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo squeezed past Vis Pesaro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arezzo and 2.00 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro?

Arezzo 2-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 43%, draw 27%, Vis Pesaro 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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