Lucchese 1-0 Olbia 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.71/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.74
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olbia 1905
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
23.04.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 2-0 HT 1-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
17.12.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-1 HT 0-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
02.11.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 1-0 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTCK
23.01.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 1-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
19.09.2021 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 0-1 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Olbia 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese edged past Olbia 1905 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lucchese as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lucchese had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lucchese and 0.50 for Olbia 1905.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Olbia 1905?

Lucchese 1-0 Olbia 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Olbia 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 49%, draw 28%, Olbia 1905 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucchese), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5
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