GIANA Erminio 2-0 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Mar 2024

GIANA Erminio
2-0 HT 1-0
Padova Calcio
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GIANA Erminio v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.11/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.85
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-0 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTCK
04.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
10.04.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
05.12.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC

GIANA Erminio 2-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
2-0
AWAY Padova Calcio
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio beat Padova Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 36% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 64%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for GIANA Erminio and 2.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio?

GIANA Erminio 2-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 26%, draw 26%, Padova Calcio 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Padova Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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