Avellino 1-1 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.46/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.62
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
522 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-0D-3L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 3-2 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
19.11.2023 Avellino Avellino 1-3 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.03.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-4 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
13.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-1
AWAY SSC Giugliano
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Avellino vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino and SSC Giugliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Avellino had 61% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Avellino and 2.25 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Avellino vs SSC Giugliano?

Avellino 1-1 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avellino 47%, draw 26%, SSC Giugliano 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avellino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
2 Sep 2024
21:45 Cavese vs Crotone Analysis →
21:45 Team Altamura vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →
21:45 Vis Pesaro vs Arezzo Analysis →
21:45 Arzignano Valchiampo vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
21:45 Ascoli vs Pianese Analysis →
22:15 Catania vs Benevento Analysis →