SSC Giugliano 3-2 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.62/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.91
+55% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Avellino
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Avellino Avellino 1-3 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.03.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-4 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
13.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
3-2
AWAY Avellino
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano squeezed past Avellino 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 56% of the ball to Avellino's 44%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.67 for Avellino.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Avellino?

SSC Giugliano 3-2 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 26%, draw 27%, Avellino 47%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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