GIANA Erminio 3-0 Alessandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.7
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Alessandria EU Bookmakers 22%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.39/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.12
-5% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alessandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Alessandria Alessandria 1-2 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.02.2021 Alessandria Alessandria 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
18.10.2020 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-1 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
09.02.2020 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 2-1 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
26.09.2019 Alessandria Alessandria 4-0 HT 3-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
29.07.2018 Alessandria Alessandria 0-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
3-0
AWAY Alessandria
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Alessandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio ran out comfortable winners over Alessandria 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had GIANA Erminio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 41% of the ball to Alessandria's 59%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.17 for Alessandria.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Alessandria?

GIANA Erminio 3-0 Alessandria in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Alessandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 45%, draw 31%, Alessandria 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Mar 2024
16:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Sesto Analysis →
16:00 Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi Analysis →
16:00 ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Picerno vs US Latina Analysis →
16:00 Fiorenzuola vs Pro Patria Analysis →