Picerno 0-2 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.19
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.35/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.18
+2% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
2W-0D-3L
AWAY US Latina
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-3 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
19.02.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
18.10.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
15.02.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-2 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
10.10.2021 US Latina US Latina 3-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
0-2
AWAY US Latina
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Picerno vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina beat Picerno 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Picerno at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Picerno had 61% of the ball to US Latina's 39%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, US Latina led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Picerno and 1.20 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Picerno vs US Latina?

Picerno 0-2 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Picerno 44%, draw 27%, US Latina 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Picerno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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