Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus Francavilla v Nuova Monterosi — Team-Based Signals
Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Francavilla
İTC
3-0
HT 1-0
Nuova Monterosi
İTC
2-1
HT 1-0
Virtus Francavilla
İTC
2-2
HT 2-1
Nuova Monterosi
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Francavilla
İTC
1-0
HT 0-0
Nuova Monterosi
İTC
Virtus Francavilla 2-0 Nuova Monterosi — Actual Match Statistics
Virtus Francavilla got the better of Nuova Monterosi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Virtus Francavilla as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Virtus Francavilla had 60% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 40%, shots finished 16-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nuova Monterosi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Virtus Francavilla and 1.00 for Nuova Monterosi.
What was the final score of Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi?
Virtus Francavilla 2-0 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Francavilla win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Virtus Francavilla 45%, draw 27%, Nuova Monterosi 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Francavilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.