AlbinoLeffe 1-1 Pro Sesto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
0.91/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.97
-26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Pro Sesto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-0 HT 2-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
08.01.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 3-1 HT 0-1 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
10.09.2022 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-2 HT 1-2 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
26.03.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
21.11.2021 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
03.02.2021 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 2-2 HT 1-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1-1
AWAY Pro Sesto
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Sesto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe and Pro Sesto couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 47% of the ball to Pro Sesto's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 1.33 for Pro Sesto.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Sesto?

AlbinoLeffe 1-1 Pro Sesto in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Sesto?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 34%, draw 35%, Pro Sesto 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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