ACR Messina 0-3 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

ACR Messina
0-3 HT 0-1
Foggia Calcio
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ACR Messina v Foggia Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -24%
1.19/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.58
-3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
02.04.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.11.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.02.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
03.10.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
15.09.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 2-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTCK

ACR Messina 0-3 Foggia Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
0-3
AWAY Foggia Calcio
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio swept aside ACR Messina 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Foggia Calcio made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, ACR Messina had 52% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 48%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for ACR Messina and 1.67 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio?

ACR Messina 0-3 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 36%, draw 28%, Foggia Calcio 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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