Lumezzane 3-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.34
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.08/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.07
-12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Virtus Verona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
3-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane saw off Virtus Verona 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 53% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 47%, shots finished 20-12.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona?

Lumezzane 3-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 35%, draw 30%, Virtus Verona 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lumezzane) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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