Fiorenzuola 3-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
43%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
43%
Away Win
35%
+8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +1%
0.94/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.89
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorenzuola
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-1 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
16.03.2022 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-3 HT 0-2 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
06.11.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorenzuola
3-1
AWAY Pro Patria
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorenzuola vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorenzuola beat Pro Patria 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pro Patria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fiorenzuola had 63% of the ball to Pro Patria's 37%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fiorenzuola and 1.33 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Fiorenzuola vs Pro Patria?

Fiorenzuola 3-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorenzuola vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fiorenzuola 32%, draw 25%, Pro Patria 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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