Cavese 2-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
0.74/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.34
-33% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
2-1
AWAY Crotone
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese squeezed past Crotone 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Cavese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cavese had 42% of the ball to Crotone's 58%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Crotone?

Cavese 2-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cavese 35%, draw 27%, Crotone 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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