Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.99/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.27
-25% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2W-1D-1L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
28.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
18.02.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 5-1 HT 3-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
19.10.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-3 HT 0-3 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo and AlbinoLeffe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 61% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 39%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.50 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs AlbinoLeffe?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 50%, draw 25%, AlbinoLeffe 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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