Benevento vs Catania Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benevento v Catania — Team-Based Signals
Benevento vs Catania Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-1
Catania
İTC
1-3
HT 0-0
Benevento
İTC
Benevento 3-2 Catania — Actual Match Statistics
Benevento squeezed past Catania 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Benevento had 56% of the ball to Catania's 44%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benevento and 2.00 for Catania.
What was the final score of Benevento vs Catania?
Benevento 3-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benevento vs Catania?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Benevento 52%, draw 25%, Catania 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.