SPAL vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SPAL v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
SPAL vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Perugia
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
SPAL 1-1 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
SPAL and Perugia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, SPAL had 40% of the ball to Perugia's 60%, shots finished 7-28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SPAL and 1.67 for Perugia.
What was the final score of SPAL vs Perugia?
SPAL 1-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SPAL vs Perugia?
Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SPAL 38%, draw 26%, Perugia 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SPAL), BTTS No went the other way.