Sorrento Calcio 1-2 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
5.02
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.18 — our 40% vs market 37.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.74
+17% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
2W-0D-1L
AWAY SS Monopoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
30.03.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
26.11.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-2
AWAY SS Monopoli
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli nicked a narrow win over Sorrento Calcio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; SS Monopoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 51% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 49%, shots finished 23-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 0.33 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs SS Monopoli?

Sorrento Calcio 1-2 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 33%, draw 31%, SS Monopoli 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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