SS Monopoli 0-1 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.45/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.37
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
26.11.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
0-1
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio squeezed past SS Monopoli 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was SS Monopoli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 59% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 41%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.00 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?

SS Monopoli 0-1 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 44%, draw 27%, Sorrento Calcio 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SS Monopoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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