GIANA Erminio 1-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.17
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.78
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.3pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.42/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.09
+9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
313 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.03.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 5-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
31.10.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.04.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
23.12.2020 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-1
AWAY Pro Patria
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio and Pro Patria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 57% of the ball to Pro Patria's 43%, shots finished 21-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.83 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria?

GIANA Erminio 1-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 36%, draw 29%, Pro Patria 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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